2011-12 NCAA College Football Bowl Games
Whether you are in a college bowl pick'em contest or are planning to do some betting on the college football bowl games, we have the computer bowl predictions, bowl picks and pick’em advice you need to get an edge.
Analysis & Updates
Updates to Win, O/U, ATS Predictor Tools
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3 Football Prediction Tools Are Better Than 1
Bowl Betting Highlights
- Under Les Miles, LSU is 5-1 against the spread in bowl games, with an average ATS margin of +20
- Michigan is the most likely favorite to cover the spread (-2.5) this bowl season
- Bowl games involving a team with a new coach have gone over the total in 10 of the last 15 games
- The closest point spread toss-up this bowl season is Arkansas (50.1% to cover -7.5) vs. Kansas State (49.9%)
- The most likely game to go under the total is Washington vs. Baylor (59.3% under 78)
- The three most likely point spread winners this bowl season are all underdogs
- In the Rose Bowl, Oregon is 4-1 ATS away from home this year, while Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS away
- SEC teams are 8-11 against the spread in Bowl games over the past two seasons
- The Big 12 is 21-9 against the spread vs other conferences this year
See more betting picks and trends
Bowl Prediction Highlights
- The most likely bowl winner is Boise State (80.8%) over Arizona State (19.2%)
- Of this year’s 70 bowl teams, Utah (7-1) has the most impressive win-loss record in bowl games since 2003
- The most evenly matched bowl game is Alabama (50.2%) vs. LSU (49.8%)
- Besides Boise State, the most likely non-BCS conference team to beat a BCS conference team is Western Michigan (46.4% vs. Purdue)
- The Meineke Car Care Bowl pits Texas A&M vs Northwestern. Their combined record in bowl games since 1995 is 2-17
See more bowl winner predictions and matchup stats
Bowl Upset Highlights
- Out of bowl teams favored by more than 7 points, the most likely team to get upset is Texas A&M (27.4% by Northwestern)
- Even though Auburn is the reigning national champion, they have a decent shot of getting upset by Virginia (40.1%)
- The most likely Pac-12 team to pull off an upset is UCLA (48.9% vs. Illinois)
- Iowa has a 25% chance to upset Oklahoma, one of the two most highly favored teams this bowl season
- In games where the favorite is favored by less than a touchdown, the least likely team to get upset is Mississippi State (22.1% by Wake Forest)
See more bowl upset picks and odds
Bowl Pick’em Highlights
- TCU is the most popular game winner pick by bowl pick’em players, even though they only have the third-best Vegas spread
- Three Vegas underdogs are still being chosen to win by more than 60% of bowl pick’em players: LSU, Iowa State, and Northern Illinois
- Over 80% of bowl pick’em players are choosing Clemson over West Virginia, making Clemson (only favored by 3.5 points) one of the most overvalued teams
- Although more than half of people are picking Cincinnati to beat Vanderbilt, our models give the Bearcats less than 40% win odds
- The least popular bowl pick’em team that has at least a 60% chance of winning is Temple
See all of our Bowl Pick’em picks and advice
Prediction Results & Philosophy
Our data driven algorithms have predicted the college bowls for years, and compiled the following track record:
- Last year, our college bowl pick’em advice beat 99.2% of players in ESPN’s nationwide contest; in a 50-person bowl pick’em pool, our picks likely resulted in a first or second place finish
- Since 2005, all college bowl point spread picks from our computer algorithms have gone a profitable 107-84-4 (56.0%) against the spread
- Since 2005, our playable (2 and 3 star) college bowl over/under picks have gone a profitable 62-44-2 (58.5%)
- Our college bowl money line picks returned an average of 3.4 units of profit per week during the 2011 regular season
See detailed five year bowl prediction accuracy
Get Our 2011-12 College Bowl Game Package
College Bowl Pick'em Advice
If you're playing in a Bowl Pick'em contest or office pool, our College Bowl Pick'em picks are your secret weapon. Our unique office pool picks combine our computer projections with public picking trends to create confidence ranked pick lists for various sized pools. There's nothing like it on the web, and our strategy-driven office pool picks beat 99.2% of America last year in ESPN's college football bowl pick'em contest.
2011-2012 College Bowl Pick'em Advice
College Bowl Betting Picks
Our algorithmic college football bowl game betting picks are generated by sophisticated, 100% objective math models built by Stanford engineers. Based on the latest odds, we offer bowl point spread picks (ATS picks), over/under picks (totals picks), and money line value picks for all 2011-2012 NCAA college football bowl games.
2011-2012 College Bowl Betting Picks
College Bowl Game Winner Predictions 2011-2012
Sometimes you just need to know the most likely bowl game winners for every matchup. We go further than simply offering bowl winner predictions, because we have built three independent mathematical prediction models that each forecast game winners for all 35 college football bowl games. We combine those predictions into one opinion on each game, but you can also compare the three base models.
2011-2012 College Bowl Winner Predictions
College Bowl Odds 2011-2012
College bowl game odds, bowl betting lines, and bowl game line movements are critical pieces of information for bowl game betting and pick’em contests. Our college bowl game betting odds page tracks point spreads, over/under lines (totals lines), and money lines for every bowl game, and analyzes betting line movements.
2011-2012 College Football Bowl Game Odds
College Bowl Schedule 2011-2012
35 NCAA college football bowl games are a lot to keep track of. Unlike other college bowl schedules from the "big boys", our 2011-12 college football bowl game schedule is simple, fast, and has no annoying ads on it.
