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Kentucky Wildcats #1 Seed 28-0 • 1st place, SEC

The Wildcats excel at defense and offensive rebounding, ranking in the top 20 in both categories. However, defensive rebounding is a weakness; they rank just #167 in that category.

Play-In Winner #16 Seed Expected Winner: Mercer

Mercer's relative strengths include offensive rebounding and ball handling, but they didn't rank in the top 40 in either category. However, they struggle at defensive rebounding, where they rank in the bottom 50% of all teams.

Odds to Win This Game KENT MERC

Decision Tree Model

Leverages hundreds of team stats and contextual game information.

97% 3%
Power Ratings Model

Analyzes each team's scoring margins and schedule strength.

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Similar Games Model

Based on results of past games between statistically similar teams.

97% 3%
Simulation Model

Driven by advanced play-by-play computer simulation of game.

100% 0%
Seed Difference

Historical tournament win odds for teams with seed difference of 15.

100% 0%
How to get an edge in your bracket pool » Tip: Underdogs with 40-50% win odds often make good upset picks.

Kentucky Key Stats

Season Performance #1
Strength of Schedule #24
Away Games #2
Recent Games #1
Non-Conference Games #1
Points/Possession 1.124 (#10)
Effective FG % 52.1% (#65)
Turnover % 14.2% (#36)
Off Rebound % 40.7% (#2)
FTA per FGA 0.428 (#49)
Opp Points/Possession 0.793 (#1)
Opp Effective FG % 38.7% (#1)
Opp Turnover % 19.1% (#27)
Opp Off Rebound % 28.9% (#167)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.313 (#54)

Mercer Key Stats

Season Performance #215
Strength of Schedule #232
Away Games #194
Recent Games #212
Non-Conference Games #274
Points/Possession 1.030 (#92)
Effective FG % 49.7% (#142)
Turnover % 15.3% (#80)
Off Rebound % 32.5% (#74)
FTA per FGA 0.412 (#76)
Opp Points/Possession 1.008 (#205)
Opp Effective FG % 50.3% (#233)
Opp Turnover % 16.8% (#153)
Opp Off Rebound % 30.2% (#227)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.322 (#76)