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Villanova Wildcats #1 Seed 18-1 • 1st place, Big East

The Wildcats excel at shooting accuracy and scoring, ranking in the top 20 in both categories. However, offensive rebounding is a weakness; they rank just #147 in that category.

Play-In Winner #16 Seed Expected Winner: Longwood

Longwood's relative strengths include shooting 3-pointers and shooting accuracy, but they didn't rank in the top 40 in either category. However, they struggle at ball handling, where they rank in the bottom 50% of all teams.

Odds to Win This Game VILA LONG

Decision Tree Model

Leverages hundreds of team stats and contextual game information.

98% 2%
Power Ratings Model

Analyzes each team's scoring margins and schedule strength.

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Similar Games Model

Based on results of past games between statistically similar teams.

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Simulation Model

Driven by advanced play-by-play computer simulation of game.

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Seed Difference

Historical tournament win odds for teams with seed difference of 15.

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Show me the best pick for my pool » Tip: Underdogs with 40-50% win odds often make good upset picks.

Villanova Key Stats

Season Performance #2
Strength of Schedule #6
Away Games #6
Recent Games #3
Non-Conference Games #3
Points/Possession 1.162 (#5)
Effective FG % 59.0% (#3)
Turnover % 15.0% (#70)
Off Rebound % 28.5% (#147)
FTA per FGA 0.344 (#199)
Opp Points/Possession 0.912 (#36)
Opp Effective FG % 46.5% (#44)
Opp Turnover % 17.1% (#125)
Opp Off Rebound % 22.4% (#24)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.200 (#1)

Longwood Key Stats

Season Performance #325
Strength of Schedule #323
Away Games #285
Recent Games #293
Non-Conference Games #341
Points/Possession 0.899 (#329)
Effective FG % 50.9% (#151)
Turnover % 21.3% (#349)
Off Rebound % 18.0% (#343)
FTA per FGA 0.252 (#347)
Opp Points/Possession 1.101 (#327)
Opp Effective FG % 53.5% (#292)
Opp Turnover % 15.0% (#275)
Opp Off Rebound % 34.5% (#338)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.306 (#86)