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Villanova Wildcats #1 Seed 26-2 • 1st place, Big East

The Wildcats excel at free throw shooting and shooting accuracy, ranking in the top 20 in both categories. However, offensive rebounding is a weakness; they rank just #120 in that category.

Play-In Winner #16 Seed Expected Winner: Longwood

Longwood's relative strengths include free throw shooting and shooting 3-pointers, but they didn't rank in the top 40 in either category. However, they struggle at ball handling, where they rank in the bottom 50% of all teams.

Odds to Win This Game VILA LONG

Decision Tree Model

Leverages hundreds of team stats and contextual game information.

98% 2%
Power Ratings Model

Analyzes each team's scoring margins and schedule strength.

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Similar Games Model

Based on results of past games between statistically similar teams.

99% 1%
Simulation Model

Driven by advanced play-by-play computer simulation of game.

100% 0%
Seed Difference

Historical tournament win odds for teams with seed difference of 15.

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Show me the best pick for my pool » Tip: Underdogs with 40-50% win odds often make good upset picks.

Villanova Key Stats

Season Performance #2
Strength of Schedule #23
Away Games #4
Recent Games #4
Non-Conference Games #4
Points/Possession 1.159 (#4)
Effective FG % 58.2% (#3)
Turnover % 15.1% (#75)
Off Rebound % 28.9% (#120)
FTA per FGA 0.344 (#213)
Opp Points/Possession 0.938 (#35)
Opp Effective FG % 47.6% (#57)
Opp Turnover % 16.9% (#131)
Opp Off Rebound % 24.6% (#63)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.220 (#1)

Longwood Key Stats

Season Performance #342
Strength of Schedule #317
Away Games #337
Recent Games #348
Non-Conference Games #342
Points/Possession 0.907 (#336)
Effective FG % 49.3% (#225)
Turnover % 20.1% (#346)
Off Rebound % 19.2% (#339)
FTA per FGA 0.290 (#317)
Opp Points/Possession 1.123 (#342)
Opp Effective FG % 55.3% (#333)
Opp Turnover % 15.3% (#248)
Opp Off Rebound % 33.8% (#343)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.315 (#88)