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Virginia Cavaliers #1 Seed 31-3 • 1st place, ACC

The Cavaliers excel at defense and ball handling, ranking in the top 20 in both categories. However, they struggle at offensive rebounding, where they rank in the bottom 50% of all teams.

Maryland BC Retrievers #16 Seed 25-11 • 2nd place, America East

Maryland BC's strengths include shooting 3-pointers, where they rank in the nation's top 40, and defense. However, they struggle at free throw shooting, where they rank in the bottom 50% of all teams.

Win Odds Model UVA MDBC
Decision Tree

Identifies data trends with predictive significance.

94% 6%
Power Ratings

Analyzes scoring margins and schedule strength.

99% 1%
Similar Games

Based on results of similar past matchups.

97% 3%
Simulation

Play-by-play computer simulation of game.

99% 1%
Seed Difference

Historical win odds for seed difference of 15.

100% 0%
Point Spread

Recent betting lines favor Virginia by 20.5.

win by20.5 lose by20.5

Virginia Stats

Season Performance #2
Strength of Schedule #22
Away Games #1
Recent Games #9
Non-Conference Games #33
Points/Possession 1.081 (#50)
Effective FG % 52.7% (#98)
Turnover % 12.3% (#3)
Off Rebound % 24.9% (#234)
FTA per FGA 0.245 (#345)
Opp Points/Possession 0.870 (#2)
Opp Effective FG % 44.3% (#4)
Opp Turnover % 18.4% (#36)
Opp Off Rebound % 23.6% (#53)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.262 (#27)

Maryland BC Stats

Season Performance #131
Strength of Schedule #206
Away Games #130
Recent Games #51
Non-Conference Games #157
Points/Possession 1.020 (#169)
Effective FG % 52.2% (#114)
Turnover % 15.2% (#108)
Off Rebound % 22.9% (#285)
FTA per FGA 0.303 (#270)
Opp Points/Possession 0.995 (#108)
Opp Effective FG % 51.6% (#217)
Opp Turnover % 18.0% (#47)
Opp Off Rebound % 27.4% (#206)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.308 (#113)