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Villanova Wildcats #1 Seed 32-4 • 1st place, Big East

The Wildcats excel at scoring and free throw shooting, ranking in the top 20 in both categories. However, offensive rebounding is a weakness; they rank just #96 in that category.

Mt St Marys Mountaineers #16 Seed 20-16 • 3rd place, Northeast

Mt St Marys's relative strengths include defense and shooting 3-pointers, but they didn't rank in the top 40 in either category. However, they struggle at defensive rebounding, where they rank in the bottom 50% of all teams.

Win Odds Model VILA MSTM
Decision Tree

Identifies data trends with predictive significance.

96% 4%
Power Ratings

Analyzes scoring margins and schedule strength.

100% 0%
Similar Games

Based on results of similar past matchups.

100% 0%
Simulation

Play-by-play computer simulation of game.

100% 0%
Seed Difference

Historical win odds for seed difference of 15.

100% 0%
Point Spread

Recent betting lines favor Villanova by 25.

win by25 lose by25

Villanova Stats

Season Performance #3
Strength of Schedule #35
Away Games #4
Recent Games #13
Non-Conference Games #6
Points/Possession 1.153 (#3)
Effective FG % 57.5% (#5)
Turnover % 14.9% (#75)
Off Rebound % 29.5% (#96)
FTA per FGA 0.350 (#180)
Opp Points/Possession 0.936 (#23)
Opp Effective FG % 48.1% (#75)
Opp Turnover % 17.7% (#63)
Opp Off Rebound % 24.7% (#75)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.221 (#1)

Mt St Marys Stats

Season Performance #207
Strength of Schedule #283
Away Games #177
Recent Games #173
Non-Conference Games #227
Points/Possession 0.970 (#259)
Effective FG % 51.0% (#158)
Turnover % 17.1% (#258)
Off Rebound % 20.9% (#328)
FTA per FGA 0.324 (#264)
Opp Points/Possession 0.981 (#89)
Opp Effective FG % 49.9% (#141)
Opp Turnover % 18.5% (#33)
Opp Off Rebound % 32.7% (#335)
Opp FTA per FGA 0.326 (#109)