College Football Odds Movement

Results Based on Overall Line Movement

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 18 6-12-0 33.3%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 17 10-6-1 62.5%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 32 18-13-1 58.1%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 46 24-22-0 52.2%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 28 13-14-1 48.1%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 21 14-5-2 73.7%
Total 164 86-73-5 54.1%

Overall Line Movement of 2 or 2.5 Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 13 5-8-0 38.5%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 56 25-31-0 44.6%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 39 21-18-0 53.8%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 34 15-18-1 45.5%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 70 40-30-0 57.1%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 33 19-13-1 59.4%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 24 10-14-0 41.7%
Total 269 135-132-2 50.6%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Favorite
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 99 45-53-1 45.9%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 224 109-113-2 49.1%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 100 48-49-3 49.5%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 119 54-65-0 45.4%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 132 64-67-1 48.9%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 85 53-32-0 62.4%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 52 24-27-1 47.1%
Total 811 397-406-8 49.4%

Closing Line Same As Opening Line
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 39 26-13-0 66.7%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 126 57-66-3 46.3%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 83 33-50-0 39.8%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 48 23-25-0 47.9%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 68 39-28-1 58.2%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 38 20-17-1 54.1%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 44 22-21-1 51.2%
Total 446 220-220-6 50.0%

Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 42 23-19-0 54.8%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 261 124-132-5 48.4%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 153 79-73-1 52.0%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 131 69-60-2 53.5%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 135 71-62-2 53.4%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 43 24-18-1 57.1%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 55 26-27-2 49.1%
Total 820 416-391-13 51.5%

Overall Line Movement of 2.0 to 2.5 Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 19 10-9-0 52.6%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 75 35-36-4 49.3%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 37 14-22-1 38.9%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 38 18-20-0 47.4%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 35 11-23-1 32.4%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 22 15-7-0 68.2%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 12 7-5-0 58.3%
Total 238 110-122-6 47.4%

Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Underdog
Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 60 24-34-2 41.4%
Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 30 15-15-0 50.0%
Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 13 5-8-0 38.5%
Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 24 13-11-0 54.2%
Opening Favorite of 14-20.5 31 9-22-0 29.0%
Opening Favorite of 21-27.5 5 2-3-0 40.0%
Opening Favorite of 28+ 6 3-3-0 50.0%
Total 169 71-96-2 42.5%

About the Spread Movement Data

These tables show the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread, as well as what that opening spread was.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the direction and size of the line movement associated with each game, ranging from large moves toward the opening favorite to large moves away from the opening favorite. Within the tables, each line represents a different range of opening spreads, from games with only a small opening favorite to games with a large favorite.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.