College Football Odds Movement

We have opening and closing point spreads for 2928 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 1439-1447-42 and covered the spread 49.9% of the time.

Historical Spread Movement Results

Movement # Games Opening Fav Record Cover %
-9.5 1 0-0-1 --
-6.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-6 3 2-1-0 66.7%
-5.5 3 2-1-0 66.7%
-5 8 5-3-0 62.5%
-4.5 14 10-3-1 76.9%
-4 24 12-12-0 50.0%
-3.5 44 24-18-2 57.1%
-3 66 31-34-1 47.7%
-2.5 117 70-47-0 59.8%
-2 159 68-89-2 43.3%
-1.5 184 100-81-3 55.2%
-1 267 122-144-1 45.9%
-0.5 364 176-184-4 48.9%
0 446 220-220-6 50.0%
0.5 366 201-161-4 55.5%
1 283 145-131-7 52.5%
1.5 171 70-99-2 41.4%
2 145 67-74-4 47.5%
2.5 93 43-48-2 47.3%
3 54 26-28-0 48.1%
3.5 45 16-29-0 35.6%
4 25 8-16-1 33.3%
4.5 16 7-9-0 43.8%
5 16 8-7-1 53.3%
5.5 4 1-3-0 25.0%
6 2 1-1-0 50.0%
7 1 1-0-0 100.0%
8 1 1-0-0 100.0%
9.5 2 1-1-0 50.0%
17 1 0-1-0 0.0%
20.5 1 0-1-0 0.0%
33.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Spread Movement Data

This table shows the ATS record of opening favorites in a game, based on the difference between the opening and closing point spread.

For example, a "Movement" value of -3 means that the point spread moved three points in the direction of the opening favorite between opening and closing. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 9 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3. (Because the spread moved from -6 to -9.)

Positive "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the point spread moving the direction of the opening underdog. If a team opens as a 6 point favorite but closes as a 3 point favorite, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Opening Fav Record and Cover % refer to the ATS (against the spread) record of the opening favorite for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Cover %.