NFL Odds Movement

Results Based on Opening Over/Under Line

Opening Over/Under of 0-35.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 4 1-3-0 25.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 11 8-3-0 72.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 2 2-0-0 100.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 11 7-4-0 63.6%
Total 28 18-10-0 64.3%

Opening Over/Under of 36-40.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 6 2-3-1 40.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 30 18-12-0 60.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 83 40-42-1 48.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 51 31-17-3 64.6%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 77 40-36-1 52.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 24 11-11-2 50.0%
3+ toward the Under 8 1-7-0 12.5%
Total 279 143-128-8 52.8%

Opening Over/Under of 41-45.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 7 3-4-0 42.9%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 30 17-13-0 56.7%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 142 69-67-6 50.7%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 83 41-38-4 51.9%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 170 89-74-7 54.6%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 39 19-20-0 48.7%
3+ toward the Under 22 11-11-0 50.0%
Total 493 249-227-17 52.3%

Opening Over/Under of 46-50.5
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
3+ toward the Over 5 2-3-0 40.0%
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 10 6-4-0 60.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 63 32-31-0 50.8%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 30 14-15-1 48.3%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 78 40-35-3 53.3%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 29 11-16-2 40.7%
3+ toward the Under 8 4-4-0 50.0%
Total 223 109-108-6 50.2%

Opening Over/Under of 51+
Movement # Games Over Record Over %
2 or 2.5 toward the Over 5 3-2-0 60.0%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Over 12 7-5-0 58.3%
Closing line is the same as the opening line 3 2-1-0 66.7%
.5 to 1.5 toward the Under 17 8-9-0 47.1%
2 or 2.5 toward the Under 6 2-4-0 33.3%
3+ toward the Under 2 0-2-0 0.0%
Total 45 22-23-0 48.9%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

These tables show the number of games that went over the totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line, as well has how high that line opened.

The data is grouped into separate tables based on the opening totals line, ranging from games with low totals to those with high totals. Within the tables, each line represents a different amount of movement away from that original total, ranging from a large move toward the over to a large move toward the under.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.