NFL Odds Movement

We have opening and closing totals lines for 1068 games since the 2008 season. The Over-Under-Push record in those games based on the opening line was 536-508-24 which is 51.3% overs (ignoring pushes).

Historical Over/Under Movement Results

Movement # Games Over Record Over %
6 1 0-1-0 0.0%
5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
4.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
4 1 1-0-0 100.0%
3.5 7 4-2-1 66.7%
3 7 1-6-0 14.3%
2.5 31 16-15-0 51.6%
2 48 25-22-1 53.2%
1.5 87 48-37-2 56.5%
1 90 46-44-0 51.1%
0.5 134 57-73-4 43.8%
0 169 77-85-7 47.5%
-0.5 152 93-59-0 61.2%
-1 118 61-55-2 52.6%
-1.5 83 43-39-1 52.4%
-2 66 29-35-2 45.3%
-2.5 32 11-18-3 37.9%
-3 15 6-9-0 40.0%
-3.5 10 5-4-1 55.6%
-4 6 3-3-0 50.0%
-4.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
-5.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-6.5 2 2-0-0 100.0%
-7 1 0-1-0 0.0%
-7.5 1 1-0-0 100.0%
-11 1 1-0-0 100.0%

About the Over/Under Movement Data

This table shows the number of games that went over the totals line, based on the difference between the opening and closing totals line.

For example, a "Movement" value of 3 means that the over/under line increased by three points between opening and closing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 50, the game is considered to have a total line movement of 3.

Negative "Movement" values, on the other hand, indicate the over/under line decreasing. If a game opens with an over/under line of 47 but closes with a line of 44, the game is considered to have a total line movement of -3.

Over Record and Over % refer to the number of games that went over vs. under for each matching scenario. Pushes are ignored in the calculation of Over %.